Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.306195 3.687970 4.101820 4.584713 5.133877 5.740332 6.462616
2025-02-16 2.736898 3.246932 3.840199 4.584931 5.499907 6.593835 8.010432
2025-02-23 2.392083 2.970055 3.678599 4.618688 5.844526 7.404230 9.563763
2025-03-02 2.081944 2.678007 3.439342 4.494743 5.938234 7.870205 10.697183
2025-03-09 1.869534 2.478126 3.283198 4.442281 6.095019 8.408106 11.964362
2025-03-16 1.695190 2.306299 3.139751 4.380270 6.215713 8.889422 13.188720
2025-03-23 1.619312 2.259514 3.159041 4.542453 6.665815 9.885609 15.304014
2025-03-30 1.506009 2.147246 3.071498 4.533657 6.850683 10.490155 16.867229
2025-04-06 1.399856 2.035183 2.972337 4.493636 6.976209 11.005230 18.337006
2025-04-13 1.258555 1.858900 2.761261 4.257316 6.758432 10.929037 18.762468
2025-04-20 1.191202 1.790103 2.709057 4.268507 6.946521 11.549425 20.508810
2025-04-27 1.148934 1.756681 2.708697 4.362637 7.281358 12.455783 22.905332
2025-05-04 1.100644 1.711788 2.688923 4.426656 7.578121 13.342616 25.428848
2025-05-11 1.052433 1.663545 2.659882 4.471929 7.845884 14.207790 28.046773
2025-05-18 1.007791 1.617737 2.630866 4.513524 8.109271 15.092805 30.842973
2025-05-25 0.939673 1.527540 2.519029 4.394439 8.052673 15.334954 32.265811
2025-06-01 0.888834 1.463474 2.447796 4.343626 8.122474 15.838552 34.353575
2025-06-08 0.840755 1.401067 2.374996 4.283248 8.165992 16.289796 36.387081
2025-06-15 0.828635 1.401185 2.414276 4.441322 8.671549 17.793405 41.235789
2025-06-22 0.793663 1.357973 2.370987 4.432752 8.825478 18.535889 44.292740
2025-06-29 0.757149 1.309709 2.314984 4.393751 8.909341 19.127278 47.055352
2025-07-06 0.698624 1.217645 2.170704 4.163417 8.551110 18.643912 46.821000
2025-07-13 0.674190 1.187848 2.143700 4.174325 8.733876 19.474878 50.405117